Transparency

Methodology and data sources

How we measure progress toward the Africa We Want: the indicators, their baselines and 2063 targets, how progress is calculated, and where the numbers come from.

Indicators tracked

Countries covered

14,112

Data points

Named sources

How progress is measured

Progress to target

Each indicator has a baseline value and a 2063 target. Progress is the share of the distance from the baseline to the target that has been covered so far, capped between 0 and 100 percent.

Direction of improvement

Most indicators improve as they rise, for example access to electricity. Some improve as they fall, for example the poverty rate or maternal mortality. Each indicator records which direction counts as better, and progress is calculated accordingly.

Where the data comes from

Indicators that map cleanly to an international series are refreshed from World Bank Open Data. The rest are modelled estimates, aligned to published Agenda 2063 baselines and targets, and are clearly labelled. The table below lists the source for every indicator.

Indicator dictionary

Every indicator we track, grouped by Aspiration, with its baseline, target, direction and source.

Aspiration 1: Prosperous Africa

Indicator	Unit	Baseline	Target	Better when	Source
GDP per capita	USD	2013: 2584	2033: 5000	Higher	AU STYIP / AfDB
Extreme poverty rate (under $2.15/day)	%	2013: 42	2033: 15	Lower	World Bank / AfDB
Access to electricity	% of population	2013: 38	2033: 80	Higher	IEA / World Bank
Agricultural productivity index	index	2013: 50	2033: 90	Higher	FAO / CAADP
Secondary education completion	%	2013: 42	2033: 80	Higher	UNESCO
Maternal mortality ratio	per 100k	2013: 480	2033: 150	Lower	WHO

Aspiration 2: Integrated Continent

Indicator	Unit	Baseline	Target	Better when	Source
Intra-African trade share	%	2013: 13	2033: 30	Higher	AfCFTA / UNECA
Infrastructure development index (AIDI)	/100	2013: 28	2033: 60	Higher	AfDB AIDI
Internet penetration	% of population	2013: 16	2033: 75	Higher	ITU

Aspiration 3: Good Governance

Indicator	Unit	Baseline	Target	Better when	Source
Overall governance index	/100	2013: 49	2033: 70	Higher	Ibrahim Index (IIAG)
Control of corruption score	/100	2013: 33	2033: 60	Higher	Transparency Intl / WGI

Aspiration 4: Peace & Security

Indicator	Unit	Baseline	Target	Better when	Source
Peace & security index	/100	2013: 55	2033: 80	Higher	AU APSA composite
Conflict-related fatalities per 100k	per 100k	2013: 9	2033: 2	Lower	ACLED composite

Aspiration 5: Cultural Identity

Indicator	Unit	Baseline	Target	Better when	Source
Cultural & heritage investment index	/100	2013: 40	2033: 75	Higher	AU cultural composite

Aspiration 6: People-Driven

Indicator	Unit	Baseline	Target	Better when	Source
Gender parity index	/100	2013: 58	2033: 90	Higher	AU / UN Women
Youth unemployment rate	%	2013: 14	2033: 7	Lower	ILO

Aspiration 7: Global Player

Indicator	Unit	Baseline	Target	Better when	Source
Domestic revenue mobilisation (tax/GDP)	%	2013: 16	2033: 25	Higher	AU STYIP / OECD
External aid dependency	% of budget	2013: 30	2033: 12	Lower	OECD DAC